President TrumpDonald John TrumpCuomo: Kavanaugh, Gorsuch are ‘going to reverse Roe v. Wade’ Trump to address nation Tuesday night amid shutdown over border Malala Yousafzai on Trump’s border wall: ‘This does not reflect the values of America’ MORE will give a prime-time address Tuesday from the Oval Office to make his case for closing parts of the government over his demand for $5.7 billion in funding for a wall on the Mexican border.
The president also plans to travel to the border on Thursday, a bellicose move reflecting the entrenched positions on both sides of the debate and one that almost certainly means the 18-day shutdown will continue into the weekend.
Negotiations had come to a standstill even before the White House announcements about Trump’s address and border visit.
Democrats insist it is not possible to have substantive talks about Trump’s demands while parts of the government are shut down. The House this week will begin passing individual appropriations bills for the affected agencies as they seek to build pressure on Trump.
Trump’s political operation, for its part, has begun running advertisements on cable television touting his calls for border security and slamming opposition from Democrats.
Caught somewhere in the middle are many congressional Republicans, some of whom have shown the strain. Three Senate Republicans have already broken with Trump to call for the government to reopen as Democrats hammer the president and his allies over the shutdown.
Vice President Pence plans to visit with House GOP lawmakers Tuesday to prevent defections as Democrats map out votes on reopening the government.
Seven Republicans in the House broke ranks and backed a bill opening up parts of the government last week, while five GOP lawmakers supported legislation to reopen the Department of Homeland Security.
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has started to target GOP incumbents with potentially tough races in 2020 over the shutdown, hoping to drive a wedge between them and suburban and middle-of-the-road voters. Sen. Cory GardnerCory Scott GardnerThe Hill’s Morning Report — Negotiations crumble as shutdown enters day 17 This week: Shutdown nears record with no deal in sight Pompeo seen as top recruit for Kansas Senate seat MORE (R-Colo.), who is up for reelection in 2020 and led the Senate GOP’s campaign arm in the last cycle, called for a stopgap measure to end the battle last week.
Trump, however, doesn’t appear to be in any rush to get a deal. His high-profile trip to the border signals that he wants at least a few more days to hit Democrats as weak on border security before ending the standoff.
“The White House knows the longer they can shine a spotlight on this issue, the better they can make their case,” said GOP strategist Ford O’Connell.
Pence and Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen NielsenKirstjen Michele NielsenBorder policies are endangering lives This week: Shutdown nears record with no deal in sight Fox’s Chris Wallace challenges Sarah Sanders on claim terrorists enter at southern border MORE told reporters on Monday that Trump will not budge from his demand for $5.7 billion for a wall and faulted Democrats for refusing to negotiate.
“The proposal we put forward yesterday, we think, represents our effort to incorporate their proposals into things that we’re willing to support. But the Democrats have got to start negotiating,” said Pence.
Some Republicans say most GOP lawmakers are not feeling the pain yet, even as Democrats exude confidence that they are winning the battle.
Josh Holmes, a GOP strategist who formerly worked for Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnellAddison (Mitch) Mitchell McConnellLiz Cheney fires back at Christian Bale: ‘Satan probably inspired’ 2008 arrest Ex-staffers for Senate GOP leaders launch lobbying shop The Hill’s Morning Report — Negotiations crumble as shutdown enters day 17 MORE (R-Ky.), said so far “it’s had a really muted political impact.”
“Perhaps it’s because of the holidays or something else, but the impact to this point has been extremely muted,” he added.
Pence said Trump will use his prime-time address to lay out the case there is a crisis along the border and urge Democrats and Republicans to negotiate an agreement that funds the border wall and reopens the government.
He also urged congressional leaders to accept Trump’s invitation to the White House this week to continue talks, saying, “We hope they take us up on it.”
Conservative pundit Ann Coulter, whose criticism of Trump is believed to have been a factor in his decision to jettison a Senate bill that would have prevented the shutdown, said Trump needs to make the case for his wall.
“We need 1 thing from President Trump: A serious Oval Office speech explaining why a Wall is the only compassionate solution,” she tweeted.
But she was dismissive of the border visit.
“What will Trump GOING TO THE BORDER accomplish? I’ve been to a hospital. That doesn’t make me a doctor,” she wrote in another tweet.
Coulter and other immigration hard-liners have warned that Trump will lose credibility if he fails to deliver on his signature issue.
“It’s entirely possible that many of his voters come 2020 are going to be disappointed that his big talk didn’t yield the results he wanted. That’s ultimately what the Democrats hope,” said Mark Krikorian, executive director of the Center for Immigration Studies, a right-leaning group that opposes liberalized immigration rules.
He said the Democratic opposition is motivated by a desire “to separate Trump from his own voters.”
Besides a few vocal members of the conservative House Freedom Caucus, most Republican lawmakers wanted to avoid the shutdown fight. But few GOP lawmakers want to risk being seen as undermining Trump.
“It all depends on the president,” said Senate Republican Whip John ThuneJohn Randolph ThuneHillicon Valley: Apple drives rough day for markets | Senate confirms FCC nominees | Federal elections agency back to full strength | China lands craft on far side of the moon Senate returns FCC to full strength The Hill’s 12:30 Report — Trump invites leaders to White House | Trump hits back at Romney op-ed | Fights we’re watching in the new year MORE (S.D.). “Whatever we do has to get 60 in the Senate and be something he would sign.”
“I really think that the American public supports border security,” said Sen. John HoevenJohn Henry HoevenHere are the lawmakers who will forfeit their salaries during the shutdown Hirono will donate salary earned during government shutdown GOP lawmakers say Trump should tamp down trade rhetoric MORE (R-N.D.).
GOP lawmakers are questioning what the endgame is for Trump. They say he hasn’t been clear enough in setting expectations and that they were caught by surprise when Trump torpedoed Senate legislation preventing the shutdown that Pence signaled Trump would accept.
“The question for the White House is at what point is the shutdown felt among voters who support Trump? As of right now that doesn’t appear to be the case,” O’Connell added. “You can say it certainly is part of his reelection strategy.”